NC St
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 82.9807Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Ea Carolina AME ( 9- 4, 81.3) 24- 7 906 H Virginia ACC (11- 3, 84.5) 35-31 911 A Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 79.2) 34-24 920 A Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 33-45 927 H Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 71.0) 21-20 1004 H Campbell 56-10 1011 A Notre Dame IND (10- 2, 94.1) 7-36 1025 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 5, 82.9) 34-53 1101 H Georgia Tech ACC ( 9- 4, 80.9) 48-36 1115 A Miami ACC (12- 3, 92.2) 7-41 1121 H Florida St ACC ( 5- 7, 79.5) 21-11 1129 H UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 42-19 1219 N Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 H Ea Carolina 24- 7 17 7 +++ 7.05
906 H Virginia 35-31 4 4 0.30
911 A Wake Forest 34-24 10 -1 +++ 11.45
920 A Duke 33-45 -12 -3 --- -8.57
927 H Va Tech 21-20 1 17 --- -13.00
1011 A Notre Dame 7-36 -29 -16 0.00
1025 A Pittsburgh 34-53 -19 -5 --- -8.82
1101 H Georgia Tech 48-36 12 7 ++ 4.64
1115 A Miami 7-41 -34 -14 0.00
1121 H Florida St 21-11 10 9 1.25
1129 H UNC 42-19 23 14 0.22
1219 N Memphis 31- 7 24 5 +++ 8.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A Duke 33-45 -12 -3 --- -8.57 927 H Va Tech 21-20 1 17 --- -13.00 1025 A Pittsburgh 34-53 -19 -5 --- -8.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 828 H Ea Carolina 24- 7 17 7 +++ 7.05 911 A Wake Forest 34-24 10 -1 +++ 11.45 1219 N Memphis 31- 7 24 5 +++ 8.72 1101 H Georgia Tech 48-36 12 7 ++ 4.64 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Ea Carolina ( 9- 4, 81.3) 24- 7 -18.61 32.61 -5.26 1.06 58.11
0 H Virginia (11- 3, 84.5) 35-31 -15.36 35.86 -5.26 1.06 65.03
0 A Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 79.2) 34-24 -20.73 30.49 5.26 1.06 75.97
0 A Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 33-45 -18.74 32.48 5.26 1.06 -7.16
0 H Va Tech ( 2-10, 71.0) 21-20 -28.90 22.32 -5.26 1.06 36.25
0 A Notre Dame (10- 2, 94.1) 7-36 -5.82 45.40 5.26 1.06 -0.30
0 A Pittsburgh ( 8- 5, 82.9) 34-53 -16.99 34.23 5.26 1.06 -6.23
0 H Georgia Tech ( 9- 4, 80.9) 48-36 -19.02 32.20 -5.26 1.06 57.24
0 A Miami (12- 3, 92.2) 7-41 -7.71 43.51 5.26 1.06 -1.30
0 H Florida St ( 5- 7, 79.5) 21-11 -20.41 30.81 -5.26 1.06 54.29
0 H UNC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 42-19 -25.43 25.78 -5.26 1.06 43.62
0 N Memphis ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31- 7 -22.20 29.02 -0.00 1.06 61.66
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437.16
|
winning pts = 452.1581 losing points = -14.9963
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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